Some strong trends:
- 10 of the last 10 winners were aged 5yo, 6yo or 8yo
- 5 of the last 5 winners finished 1st or 2nd LTO
- 6 of the last 10 winners were trained by either Colin Tizzard or Paul Nicholls
This leaves us BLACK CORTON and ELEGANT ESCAPE. There’s milage in a back-to-lay stratgey on ELEGANT ESCAPE who can be backed at 12-1 with William Hill at the time of writing and I reckon he should trade under 8.0 if not a lot shorter. This fella was only beaten 1L by the mighty Samcro in a P2P and goes well on soft ground. He shapes like a soft ground stayer so could have got in under the radar here.