This race may only be a four horse race but we’ve employed our SIGNIFICANT TRENDS to help us sort the wheat from the chaff!
What is a SIGNIFICANT TREND? A stat that has a record of 70% or better.
In the 2.25 Cheltenham those stats are:
- 9 of the last 10 winners of this race were all 6yo
- 9 of the last 10 winners came from the first three in the betting
Those two SIGNIFICANT TRENDS mean that just the one horses is suggested as a play and that is MOVEWITHTHETIMES who is the only 6yo in the field. Certainly looking at the adjusted ratings Movewiththetimes comes out on top with William Henry second and this fact added to the trends suggest Finian’s Oscar is vulnerable giving these two 8lb which effectively means 3lb to find with the former and 2lb to find with the latter.
Currently available at a best price of 4-1 with Bet365, Betfair Sportsbook and Paddy Power, you’d have to think there’s scope in the price when added to the trends and the form of the stable to think he’d trade much shorter in running and thus if backing-to-lay would lock in a nice little profit.